Epidemiological Impact of Increasing Vaccination Coverage Rate and Re-Vaccination on Pneumococcal Disease in Older Adults in Germany

Background/Objectives: The clinical impact of replacing the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) for the vaccination of older (≥60 years) and at-risk German adults with either the 20-valent (PCV20) or 21-valent (V116) pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) was evaluated. Methods: An age- and serotype-specific transmission model was adapted to Germany to evaluate the impact of V116 versus PCV20 vaccination on pneumococcal disease (PD) incidence, including invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and inpatient and outpatient non-bacteremic pneumococcal pneumonia, over 10 years. A reference strategy (PPSV23 vaccination at a constant 30% vaccine coverage rate (VCR)) was compared against eight strategies varying by PCV (PCV20 vs. V116), VCR (30% vs. 60%), with or without the PCV revaccination of previously PPSV23-vaccinated adults (0% vs. 50% revaccination). Results: Vaccination with PCV20 and V116 initially decreased PD incidence, but incidence returned to pre-vaccine levels after five and eight years, respectively. Increasing the VCR to 60% prevented this resurgence. At a 10-year time horizon, V116 with 30% VCR reduced IPD cases by 9%, inpatient NBPP cases by 10%, and outpatient NBPP cases by 7% compared to the reference strategy. PCV20 with 30% VCR reduced these cases by 6%, 5%, and 4%, respectively. Increasing the VCR to 60% and revaccinating 50% of previously PPSV23-vaccinated adults further reduced IPD cases by 14% and 13% for V116, and by 9% and 9% for PCV20. Conclusions: Increasing the vaccination coverage rate to 60% and strategically revaccinating previously PPSV23-vaccinated adults significantly enhanced the effectiveness of pneumococcal vaccines, with V116 showing greater overall reductions in disease incidence compared to PCV20 or PPSV23.