Prediction of pediatric dose of tirzepatide from the reference adult dose using physiologically based pharmacokinetic modelling

Tirzepatide is an emerging hypoglycemic agent that has been increasing used in adults, yet its pharmacokinetic (PK) behavior and dosing regimen in pediatric population remain unclear. This study aimed to employ the physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model to predict changes of tirzepatide exposure in pediatric population and to provide recommendations for its dose adjustments. A PBPK model of tirzepatide in adults was developed and verified by comparing the simulated plasma exposure with the observed data using PK-Sim&MoBi software. This model was then extrapolated to three specific age subgroups, i.e., children (10–12 years), early adolescents (12–15 years), and adolescents (15–18 years). Each subgroup included healthy and obese population, respectively. All known age-related physiological changes were incorporated into the pediatric model. To identify an appropriate dosing regimen that yielded PK parameters which were comparable to those in adults, the PK parameters for each aforementioned subgroup were predicted at pediatric doses corresponding to 87.5%, 75%, 62.5%, and 50% of the adult reference dose. According to the results of simulation, dose adjustments of tirzepatide are necessary for the individuals aged 10–12 years, as well as those aged 12–15 years with healthy body weights. In conclusion, the adult PBPK model of tirzepatide was successfully developed and validated for the first time, and the extrapolated pediatric model could be used to predict pediatric dosing regimen of tirzepatide, which will provide invaluable references for the design of future clinical trials and its rational use in the pediatric population.